Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 29.43 | $0.280 | $8.24 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 140 |
| $0.036 |
| $5.04 |
| Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.88 | $0.400 | $0.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.278 | $33.36 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.280 | $11.2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No | sell | 100.28 | $0.952 | $95.47 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No | buy | 100.28 | $0.949 | $95.17 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 232.54 | $0.360 | $83.71 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.820 | $5.46 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 8.69 | $0.690 | $6 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 99.21 | $0.633 | $62.77 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.300 | $40 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.900 | $11.84 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.850 | $6 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.940 | $40 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.690 | $6 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 78.95 | $0.038 | $3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 503.33 | $0.070 | $35.23 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 9.14 | $0.530 | $4.84 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 9.96 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 10.09 | $0.480 | $4.84 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETUp | sell | 12.26 | $0.760 | $9.32 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5PM ETUp | sell | 9.94 | $0.910 | $9.05 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 5.51 | $0.710 | $3.92 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | sell | 31.77 | $0.410 | $13.03 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 6.58 | $0.590 | $3.88 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5PM ETUp | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | sell | 10.5 | $0.530 | $5.57 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 12.79 | $0.380 | $4.86 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 49.83 | $0.390 | $19.43 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | sell | 32.83 | $0.260 | $8.54 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETUp | sell | 11.35 | $0.570 | $6.47 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 11.86 | $0.490 | $5.81 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 11.18 | $0.520 | $5.81 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5PM ETUp | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 10.77 | $0.450 | $4.85 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 9.69 | $0.530 | $5.14 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5PM ETDown | sell | 44.35 | $0.330 | $14.64 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETDown | sell | 39.81 | $0.084 | $3.35 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5PM ETUp | sell | 38.83 | $0.680 | $26.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETDown | buy | 8.35 | $0.350 | $2.92 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5PM ETDown | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.73 | $0.340 | $1.95 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5PM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 |