Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 25.82K | $0.362 | $2.71K | -$6.64K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 4d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 5.21K |
| $0.391 |
| $1.17K |
| -$865.5 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.05K | $0.208 | $289.55 | -$343.44 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 1.9K | $0.200 | $85.38 | -$294.61 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 306.42 | $0.261 | $65.88 | -$14.12 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 454.55 | $0.022 | $6.82 | -$3.18 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 93.75 | $0.160 | $6.09 | -$8.91 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $3.25 | -$1.75 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 258.06 | $0.031 | $1.29 | -$6.71 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | Yes | 200 | $0.080 | $1.2 | -$14.8 |
| buy |
| 454.55 |
| $0.022 |
| $10 |
| 4d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.140 | $30 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 284.42 | $0.352 | $100 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 430.63 | $0.232 | $100 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 306.42 | $0.261 | $80 | 28d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.270 | $300 | 28d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.126 | $150 | 28d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.034 | $50 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 57.22 | $0.175 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.025 | $7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 53.85 | $0.130 | $7 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 488.36 | $0.010 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 129.31 | $0.223 | $28.86 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 176.92 | $0.130 | $23 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.360 | $15 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 180.56 | $0.360 | $65 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Dow say "Win" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the earnings call not air?Yes | buy | 287.18 | $0.010 | $3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Dow say "Iran" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Dow say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 72.35 | $0.069 | $5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Dow say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 129.31 | $0.116 | $15 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 606.83 | $0.081 | $49 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.360 | $200 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 880.69 | $0.038 | $33.47 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.009 | $3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 322.22 | $0.009 | $2.9 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 223.88 | $0.067 | $15 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 258.06 | $0.031 | $8 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.75 | $0.450 | $28.24 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 54.11 | $0.055 | $3 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 115.13 | $0.052 | $6 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.093 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?No | buy | 65.15 | $0.092 | $6 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | buy | 70.83 | $0.240 | $17 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.75 | $0.198 | $9.84 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.04 | $0.280 | $12.89 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.75 | $0.201 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |