Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.19 |
| $0.840 |
| $1.15 |
| +$0.15 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
| buy |
| 1.09 |
| $0.920 |
| $1 |
| Jan 12, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Pelosi vs. S&P - JanuaryPelosi | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| ICE shooter charged by March 31?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Dodgers vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Dodgers vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "iPhone" 50+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Apple" 50+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will "Caught Stealing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.5m?Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.998 | $2.47 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberYes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift announce a new song today?No | buy | 7.05 | $0.998 | $7.04 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.829 | $1 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by September 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Texas enact a redistricting law by August 22?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.908 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 15.01 | $0.988 | $14.83 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.923 | $1.37 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.979 | $14.7 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.889 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 13.94 | $0.997 | $13.9 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Panthers vs. OilersOilers | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 US national XRP reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.53 | $0.400 | $5.41 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 7.13 | $0.720 | $5.13 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Tim Walz announce Senate run before July?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Feb 15, 2025 |