Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?No | buy | 23.31 | $0.990 | $23.08 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 10.29 |
| $0.670 |
| $6.89 |
| Oct 5, 2025 |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.890 | $9.16 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.930 | $7.88 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.940 | $7.57 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on September 1?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.570 | $9.72 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.930 | $5.26 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.996 | $5.25 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyYes | buy | 6.75 | $0.991 | $6.69 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 9.31 | $0.967 | $9 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | sell | 6.99 | $0.227 | $1.59 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Yes | sell | 7.12 | $0.020 | $0.14 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 6.47 | $0.992 | $6.42 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Yes | buy | 7.12 | $0.900 | $6.41 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 9.32 | $0.983 | $9.16 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | buy | 6.99 | $0.905 | $6.33 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.58 | $0.950 | $9.1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.978 | $9.58 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.976 | $8.94 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.900 | $6.92 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Yes | buy | 5.72 | $0.933 | $5.34 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Trump x Elon talk by Monday?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.944 | $7.95 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?No | buy | 6.21 | $0.935 | $5.81 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | sell | 10.65 | $0.890 | $9.48 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.966 | $10.04 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 10.66 | $0.870 | $9.27 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.24 | $0.974 | $6.08 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.960 | $6.54 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?No | buy | 6.95 | $0.940 | $6.53 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?No | buy | 6.37 | $0.970 | $6.18 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.960 | $5.28 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Mohamed Salah break the assists record this season?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.940 | $5.28 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.969 | $5.58 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 8.03 | $0.989 | $7.94 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.965 | $7.09 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will George Russell win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.970 | $7.3 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 8.89 | $0.969 | $8.61 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by 12–18%?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.968 | $7.34 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 23.73 | $0.967 | $22.95 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | buy | 22.95 | $0.987 | $22.65 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Arizona be the closest state?No | buy | 22.65 | $0.999 | $22.63 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.996 | $22.63 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 22.72 | $0.996 | $22.63 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 22.7 | $0.997 | $22.63 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.63K | $0.618 | $1.01K | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.63K | $0.619 | $1.01K | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 22.71 | $0.997 | $22.64 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | sell | 22.66 | $0.999 | $22.64 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 22.66 | $0.999 | $22.64 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | sell | 29.34 | $0.772 | $22.64 | Oct 6, 2024 |