Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.100 | $3.5 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.070 |
| $3.5 |
| Mar 16, 2025 |
 Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 854 | $0.005 | $4.27 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.018 | $10 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?Yes | sell | 121.64 | $0.142 | $17.27 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 121.65 | $0.047 | $5.77 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.580 | $40 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?Yes | sell | 129.87 | $0.006 | $0.75 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?Yes | sell | 26.88 | $0.922 | $24.78 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU win more seats than SPD and Greens?Yes | sell | 39.42 | $0.993 | $39.15 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 89.52 | $0.012 | $1.07 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 92.19 | $0.032 | $2.95 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win by 10-12%?Yes | sell | 113.33 | $0.004 | $0.45 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.017 | $0.5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the SPD be part of the next German government?No | sell | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.048 | $1.92 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.019 | $1.92 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 18.94 | $0.170 | $3.22 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 64.57 | $0.232 | $15 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU win more seats than SPD and Greens?Yes | buy | 39.42 | $0.254 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the SPD be part of the next German government?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?Yes | buy | 26.88 | $0.186 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 81.3 | $0.650 | $52.85 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will FDP be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 10-12%?Yes | buy | 113.33 | $0.088 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 28.15 | $0.355 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.406 | $8.63 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.893 | $19.84 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.620 | $32.63 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?Yes | buy | 28.11 | $0.036 | $1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.019 | $1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 89.52 | $0.034 | $3 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 174.24 | $0.029 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will SPD, FDP, and Greens form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 129.87 | $0.077 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |