Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 15.63 | $0.640 | $14.92 | +$4.92 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 18.87 |
| $0.530 |
| $14.06 |
| +$4.06 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $6.03 | +$1.03 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 20 | $0.150 | $5.5 | +$2.5 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 26.74 | $0.187 | $4.95 | -$0.05 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 5.75 | $0.870 | $4.17 | -$0.83 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $3.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 46.3 | $0.108 | $3.59 | -$1.41 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? | Yes | 11.39 | $0.439 | $1.79 | -$3.21 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 23.26 | $0.086 | $0.59 | -$1.41 |
 Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 206.8 | $0.005 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
| buy |
| 29.41 |
| $0.170 |
| $5 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 52.98 | $0.377 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | buy | 46.04 | $0.422 | $19.43 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | buy | 21.68 | $0.220 | $4.76 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | buy | 23.64 | $0.203 | $4.8 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | buy | 23.01 | $0.422 | $9.71 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | buy | 49.38 | $0.097 | $4.78 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 196.07 | $0.211 | $41.37 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 29.07 | $0.344 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 45.04 | $0.076 | $3.42 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSenegal | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 14.49 | $0.068 | $0.99 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.810 | $7.36 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.965 | $68.92 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11.63 | $0.200 | $2.33 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.420 | $30 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 46.51 | $0.830 | $38.6 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.860 | $40 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 35.09 | $0.999 | $35.05 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | sell | 71.3 | $0.997 | $71.09 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 21.29 | $0.470 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 35.1 | $0.570 | $20 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | sell | 108.41 | $0.479 | $51.95 | Jun 7, 2026 |