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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 570.9 | $0.644 | $413.9 | +$46.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | buy | 60 | $0.870 | $52.2 | May 30, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 275.65 |
| $0.788 |
| $262.28 |
| +$45.18 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 430 | $0.436 | $225.75 | +$38.08 |
| Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | No | 177.83 | $0.866 | $177.03 | +$22.97 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 300 | $0.277 | $137.55 | +$54.35 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 101.5 | $0.630 | $98.3 | +$34.36 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 104.73 | $0.587 | $97.92 | +$36.49 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 94.39 | $0.753 | $91.75 | +$20.65 |
 Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 75.76 | $0.904 | $75.46 | +$6.95 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 70.06 | $0.850 | $68.73 | +$9.16 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 50 | $0.820 | $49.18 | +$8.18 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.690 | $45 | +$10.5 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 50 | $0.660 | $43.25 | +$10.25 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 25.23 | $0.808 | $23.59 | +$3.21 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 25.64 | $0.780 | $23.46 | +$3.46 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 25.23 | $0.793 | $23.33 | +$3.33 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.720 | $17.5 | +$3.1 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 20 | $0.570 | $16.6 | +$5.2 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.780 | $15.9 | +$0.3 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.870 | $9.61 | +$0.91 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 7.64 | $0.760 | $6.91 | +$1.11 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 70 | $0.674 | $6.3 | -$40.9 |
| buy |
| 65.36 |
| $0.860 |
| $56.21 |
| May 30, 2026 |
| Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | buy | 52.47 | $0.870 | $45.65 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 101.5 | $0.630 | $63.95 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 20.07 | $0.908 | $18.22 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.360 | $18 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 7.64 | $0.760 | $5.81 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.970 | $48.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 414.86 | $0.964 | $400 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 20 | $0.871 | $17.42 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 4.73 | $0.620 | $2.93 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 35.76 | $0.918 | $32.83 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 25.23 | $0.793 | $20 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 20 | $0.913 | $18.26 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 30 | $0.838 | $25.14 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 24 | $0.836 | $20.06 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.449 | $13.47 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.770 | $23.1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.800 | $4.18 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.680 | $34 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No | buy | 12.24 | $0.780 | $9.55 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No | buy | 43.42 | $0.780 | $33.87 | Feb 13, 2026 |