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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 17.31 | $0.520 | $9.61 | +$0.61 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.31 | $0.520 | $9 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 17.31 |
| $0.520 |
| $9.26 |
| +$0.26 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August? | Yes | 13.35 | $0.674 | $9.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 16.5 | $0.460 | $9.08 | +$1.49 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 18 | $0.500 | $8.01 | -$0.99 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 37.5 | $0.240 | $6.94 | -$2.06 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 45 | $0.200 | $6.53 | -$2.48 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 6.26 | $0.770 | $5.6 | +$0.78 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 11.39 | $0.553 | $4.96 | -$1.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 10.25 | $0.440 | $4.46 | -$0.05 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 9 | $0.430 | $4.46 | +$0.59 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.610 | $2 | +$0.14 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.05 | $0.580 | $1.51 | -$0.26 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.1 | $0.210 | $0.2 | -$1.08 |
| buy |
| 17.31 |
| $0.520 |
| $9 |
| 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.500 | $9 | 1d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.660 | $9 | 5d ago |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?Yes | buy | 13.35 | $0.674 | $9 | 5d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 26.47 | $0.340 | $9 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.730 | $5.21 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.41 | $0.517 | $9 | 13d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?No | buy | 12.16 | $0.740 | $9 | 13d ago |
 Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.31 | $0.520 | $9 | 18d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 3.58 | $0.450 | $1.61 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 16.36 | $0.550 | $9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.756 | $9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 13.24 | $0.680 | $9 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.250 | $9 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 19.57 | $0.460 | $9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.71 | $0.350 | $9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio say "Nuclear" during Fox News: My View appearance?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.720 | $9 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in June?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.360 | $1.1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 31?Down | buy | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 4 | $0.420 | $1.68 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.520 | $1.59 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.600 | $1.83 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.706 | $4.97 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 11.84 | $0.250 | $2.96 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 4.57 | $0.610 | $2.79 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 26.85 | $0.260 | $6.98 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.37 | $0.490 | $9 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.4 | $0.250 | $3.35 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Dow say "Win" during earnings call?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.310 | $2.2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in Georgia?Yes | buy | 10.4 | $0.670 | $6.97 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.330 | $9 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 10.25 | $0.240 | $2.46 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $155 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 16.55 | $0.550 | $9.1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 12.18 | $0.680 | $8.28 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will General Motors say "SUV" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.700 | $4.97 | Jul 18, 2026 |