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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 174.99 | $0.965 | $170.26 | +$1.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.836 |
| $46 |
| +$4.2 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.920 | $37.4 | +$0.6 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 35 | $0.900 | $33.95 | +$2.45 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 60 | $0.468 | $26.7 | -$1.4 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 25 | $0.893 | $24.11 | +$1.8 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 20 | $0.974 | $19.91 | +$0.43 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 19.99 | $0.988 | $19.73 | -$0.02 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 19.99 | $0.956 | $19.66 | +$0.55 |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.932 | $19.39 | +$0.75 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.900 | $18.9 | +$0.9 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.782 | $18.3 | +$2.65 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.695 | $14.8 | +$0.9 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.900 | $14.42 | +$0.92 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 15 | $0.894 | $14.17 | +$0.76 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.840 | $13.73 | +$1.13 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 45 | $0.423 | $13.28 | -$5.77 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 15 | $0.789 | $12.02 | +$0.19 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.968 | $9.95 | +$0.27 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.956 | $9.94 | +$0.38 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? | No | 10 | $0.820 | $9.76 | +$1.56 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.937 | $9.61 | +$0.24 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.860 | $9.55 | +$0.95 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.920 | $9.45 | +$0.25 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.920 | $9.45 | +$0.25 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.979 |
| $9.79 |
| 15d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 16d ago |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | 18d ago |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | 19d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 19?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | 21d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 19?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | 21d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 18?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | 22d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 16?No | buy | 5.99 | $0.780 | $4.67 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 16?Yes | buy | 13.2 | $0.149 | $1.97 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 16?No | buy | 28 | $0.900 | $25.2 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?No | buy | 11 | $0.970 | $10.67 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 16?No | buy | 4.68 | $0.854 | $4 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.780 | $13.26 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.889 | $4.45 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.111 | $1.11 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.889 | $8.89 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.125 | $1.25 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.190 | $0.95 | 26d ago |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | sell | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 12?Yes | buy | 5.72 | $0.060 | $0.34 | 28d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 4?No | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.040 | $1.12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 31?Yes | buy | 10.4 | $0.080 | $0.83 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 28?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.100 | $0.34 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 27?No | sell | 8 | $0.970 | $7.76 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?No | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?No | sell | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?No | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.975 | $97.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.975 | $97.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.975 | $48.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | sell | 1.86 | $0.430 | $0.8 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 30 | $0.975 | $29.25 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.975 | $48.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.975 | $9.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?No | buy | 5.85 | $0.530 | $3.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |