Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 1.46K | $0.185 | $226.09 | -$43.9 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 60.03 |
| $0.833 |
| $46.52 |
| -$3.48 |
| Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 32.61 | $0.460 | $14.18 | -$0.82 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10.77 | +$0.77 |
| Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.540 | $9.91 | -$0.09 |
| buy |
| 10.87 |
| $0.460 |
| $5 |
| 1d ago |
| Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.261 | $26.1 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | 5d ago |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 121.6 | $0.170 | $20.67 | 5d ago |
| Will AfD win 50 or more seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 406.84 | $0.005 | $1.84 | 5d ago |
| Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 236.39 | $0.007 | $1.56 | 5d ago |
| Will AfD win 50 or more seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 406.85 | $0.012 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 236.39 | $0.042 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | 6d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | 15d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | 23d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 66.05 | $0.303 | $20 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 12.35 | $0.405 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| France vs. England: Team to WinEngland | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.137 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.057 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.057 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.290 | $13.18 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.250 | $8.62 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.090 | $4.74 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 518.6 | $0.193 | $100 | May 26, 2026 |