Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 12.81 | $0.790 | $11.98 | +$1.86 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 19.23 |
| $0.520 |
| $8.75 |
| -$1.25 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 18.82 | $0.570 | $8.57 | -$2.16 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 9.8 | $0.450 | $4.85 | +$0.44 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.71 | -$0.22 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.03 | -$0.69 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.93 | $0.410 | $2.73 | -$0.52 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.240 | $2.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $1.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 12.75 | $0.240 | $1.34 | -$1.72 |
| buy |
| 26.32 |
| $0.380 |
| $10 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.650 | $1.92 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.430 | $1.31 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.99 | $0.499 | $1.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3 | $0.490 | $1.47 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.31 | $0.510 | $1.69 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.770 | $9.75 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 4.06 | $0.700 | $2.84 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 13.22 | $0.600 | $7.93 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 9.08 | $0.250 | $2.27 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.83 | $0.630 | $3.04 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.17 | $0.635 | $4.55 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 13.43 | $0.750 | $10.07 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No | buy | 12.15 | $0.800 | $9.72 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13.4 | $0.247 | $3.31 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 13 | $0.270 | $3.51 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.31 | $0.260 | $1.64 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.88 | $0.510 | $10.14 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.520 | $4.68 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will General Motors say "SUV" 5+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.720 | $4.38 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Yes | buy | 7.08 | $0.712 | $5.04 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.790 | $4.74 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crooked" during Speech to the Nation?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.620 | $5.04 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.35 | $0.460 | $2.46 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.720 | $2.32 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 Week of July 13 2026?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.340 | $1.78 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.730 | $4.93 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.81 | $0.790 | $10.12 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.229 | $2.76 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $3.1B?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.300 | $4.2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.260 | $3.38 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?No | buy | 13.55 | $0.737 | $9.99 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.12 | $0.424 | $3.44 | Jul 8, 2026 |