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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.240 | $17.19 | +$12.19 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 6.85 |
| $0.730 |
| $6.27 |
| +$1.27 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | Yes | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5.97 | +$0.97 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.2 | +$0.16 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.75 | $0.630 | $5.11 | +$0.23 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 11.63 | $0.430 | $4.19 | -$0.81 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8 | $0.450 | $4.04 | +$0.44 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.6 | $0.420 | $3.91 | +$0.72 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.61 | $0.460 | $3.69 | +$0.19 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.64 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3.27 | $0.550 | $1.49 | -$0.31 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.35 | $0.200 | $0.86 | -$0.41 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 6 | $0.230 | $0.63 | -$0.75 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $0.56 | -$0.94 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.45 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 6.85 |
| $0.730 |
| $5 |
| 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | 9d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | 10d ago |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.1M in July?No | buy | 6.53 | $0.766 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.04 | $0.217 | $5 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | 19d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.450 | $1.61 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | 21d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | 23d ago |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | 28d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Down | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 28d ago |
 Will Trump say "Drug" or "Murderer" 10+ times during remarks in New York?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.790 | $2.52 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | buy | 7.34 | $0.681 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will China's CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.340 | $1.02 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.43 | $0.396 | $1.36 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.650 | $1.98 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.330 | $2.31 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.3 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Boeing say "Guidance" during earnings call?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.530 | $1.89 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.440 | $3.85 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.540 | $1.98 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.501 | $2.56 | Jul 25, 2026 |