Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 9.7K | $0.391 | $1.41K | -$2.38K |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.1K | $0.060 | $186 | Jun 7, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 4.15K |
| $0.139 |
| $126.48 |
| -$451.81 |
 Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25K | $0.012 | $37.5 | -$262.5 |
| buy |
| 4.15K |
| $0.139 |
| $578.29 |
| May 18, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.33K | $0.014 | $47.82 | May 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | buy | 556.47 | $0.850 | $473 | May 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp | buy | 695.97 | $0.287 | $200 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp | buy | 471.11 | $0.531 | $250 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown | buy | 84.93 | $0.556 | $47.25 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 372.23 | $0.269 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 243.9 | $0.410 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown | buy | 148.38 | $0.674 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETDown | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.060 | $199.8 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.1K | $0.130 | $403 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.100 | $125 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.57K | $0.210 | $750 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.340 | $531.73 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 544 | $0.961 | $522.78 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 19.69K | $0.012 | $236.26 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.31K | $0.012 | $63.74 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.440 | $660 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 33.9 | $0.299 | $10.12 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 28 | $0.260 | $7.28 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 1.58K | $0.140 | $221.19 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.987 | $1.09K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.077 | $38.43 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.600 | $360 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.180 | $90 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 405.11 | $0.141 | $56.95 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 568.6 | $0.171 | $97.02 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 508.47 | $0.590 | $300 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?No | buy | 251.26 | $0.398 | $100 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 879.23 | $0.640 | $562.71 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.76K | $0.115 | $318.5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.05K | $0.550 | $2.23K | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 512.04 | $0.550 | $281.62 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 752.78 | $0.660 | $496.83 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 2.6K | $0.290 | $754.98 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)Yes | buy | 93.08 | $0.209 | $19.5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will "Donald" or "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)Yes | buy | 268.72 | $0.860 | $231.1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will "Iran" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)Yes | buy | 308.76 | $0.826 | $254.98 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will "Israel" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)Yes | buy | 120.08 | $0.783 | $93.97 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 560.72 | $0.998 | $559.6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | sell | 60.14 | $0.131 | $7.9 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 4.02K | $0.025 | $100.5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 3.69K | $0.282 | $1.04K | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 630 | $0.160 | $100.8 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 418.68 | $0.765 | $320.19 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Ball" 10+ times during trophy presentation?No | buy | 153.44 | $0.652 | $100 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during trophy presentation?No | buy | 174.39 | $0.573 | $100 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Where are you" during trophy presentation?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.667 | $106.75 | Mar 20, 2026 |