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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 152.42 | $0.026 | $4.57 | +$0.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 21.23 | $0.031 | $0.66 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 3.42 |
| $0.877 |
| $3.34 |
| +$0.34 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 14.31 | $0.084 | $0.22 | -$0.97 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.013 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 19.39 | $0.009 | $0.15 | -$0.03 |
| sell |
| 5.58 |
| $0.998 |
| $5.57 |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 2.67 | $0.900 | $2.4 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 9.89 | $0.041 | $0.41 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.012 | $0.71 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 4.97 | $0.580 | $2.88 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Yes | sell | 1.91 | $0.680 | $1.3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.030 | $0.09 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 8.74 | $0.910 | $7.95 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 1.79 | $0.953 | $1.71 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Putin" during events with Rutte?Yes | sell | 0.98 | $0.220 | $0.22 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.34 | $0.300 | $0.7 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 374.57 | $0.040 | $14.98 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?No | sell | 21.6 | $0.920 | $19.87 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events with Rutte?No | sell | 0.62 | $0.680 | $0.42 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fantastic" during events with Rutte?No | sell | 1.55 | $0.720 | $1.12 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 111.27 | $0.920 | $102.37 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.920 | $0.09 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC | sell | 12.74 | $0.680 | $8.66 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | sell | 17.39 | $0.014 | $0.24 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.88 | $0.197 | $0.76 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.55 | $0.890 | $4.05 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.222 | $1.21 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.470 | $0.68 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.100 | $0.12 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Macron" or "France" during events with Rutte?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.230 | $0.32 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 336.12 | $0.018 | $6.05 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 505.58 | $0.014 | $7.08 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?Yes | sell | 2.18 | $0.460 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | sell | 0.41 | $0.915 | $0.38 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | sell | 11.59 | $0.260 | $3.01 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Yes | sell | 21.96 | $0.115 | $2.53 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 37.97 | $0.942 | $35.77 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.956 | $0.15 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 62.24 | $0.860 | $53.53 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.943 | $57.49 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 12.35 | $0.306 | $3.78 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Kurds declare independence from Iran?No | sell | 2.74 | $0.900 | $2.47 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Yes | sell | 6.9 | $0.050 | $0.35 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.034 | $0.08 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | sell | 2.77 | $0.360 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 9.36 | $0.350 | $3.28 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 0.35 | $0.500 | $0.18 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 25.53 | $0.016 | $0.41 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.640 | $0.41 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.41 | $0.260 | $0.89 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.49 | $0.180 | $0.99 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.986 | $1.06 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | sell | 1.59 | $0.840 | $1.34 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 29.38 | $0.058 | $1.7 | Apr 8, 2026 |