Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 118 | $0.250 | $74.93 | +$45.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No | sell | 164.18 | $0.990 | $162.54 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 157.9 |
| $0.190 |
| $22.9 |
| -$7.11 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 54.41 | $0.184 | $3.13 | -$6.87 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $0.53 | -$4.48 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $0.35 | -$9.65 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 190.16 | $0.052 | $0.29 | -$9.71 |
| sell |
| 30.92 |
| $0.995 |
| $30.77 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No | buy | 113.17 | $0.972 | $110 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?No | buy | 95.1 | $0.999 | $95 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 157.89 | $0.190 | $30 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No | buy | 51.02 | $0.980 | $50 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 256.41 | $0.053 | $13.71 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?Yes | buy | 35.28 | $0.992 | $35 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30.93 | $0.970 | $30 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 59.78 | $0.920 | $55 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | buy | 86.14 | $0.348 | $30 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 114.42 | $0.113 | $12.93 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.039 | $10 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 23.33 | $0.220 | $5.13 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 56.81 | $0.170 | $9.66 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.190 | $8.26 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 128.33 | $0.039 | $5 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?No | buy | 154.08 | $0.974 | $150 | May 28, 2026 |
 Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No | buy | 179.82 | $0.167 | $30 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 118 | $0.250 | $29.5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.19 | $0.710 | $8.65 | May 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.032 | $2.28 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | buy | 47.82 | $0.418 | $20 | May 25, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 18.51 | $0.940 | $17.4 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?No | buy | 30.4 | $0.987 | $30 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 190.16 | $0.053 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.021 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.176 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Yes | sell | 52.1 | $0.300 | $15.63 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Yes | buy | 52.1 | $0.288 | $15 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 222.02 | $0.090 | $20 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.800 | $42.13 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 57.83 | $0.817 | $47.26 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 57.83 | $0.951 | $55 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $70 in May?Yes | sell | 117.55 | $0.074 | $8.68 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.043 | $14.24 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?No | buy | 291.71 | $0.069 | $20 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.087 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.052 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?No | buy | 90.14 | $0.139 | $12.57 | May 14, 2026 |