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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?Yes | buy | 304.2 | $0.100 | $30.42 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 385.52 |
| $0.060 |
| $23.13 |
| Nov 2, 2025 |
 Up Only podcast released by October 31?No | buy | 22.12 | $0.904 | $20 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.056 | $6 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETUp | buy | 38.29 | $0.787 | $30.13 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?Yes | buy | 113.49 | $0.352 | $40 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?Yes | buy | 114.29 | $0.350 | $40 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.690 | $60 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?Yes | buy | 70.79 | $0.706 | $50 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 160.44 | $0.540 | $86.64 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.49 | $0.870 | $12.61 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 113.79 | $0.071 | $8.13 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.560 | $14 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?Yes | sell | 121.88 | $0.160 | $19.5 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | sell | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No | sell | 30 | $0.540 | $16.2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 165.04 | $0.690 | $113.93 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 60.6 | $0.310 | $18.79 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Yes | sell | 24.69 | $0.951 | $23.48 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.955 | $23.88 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 24.06 | $0.865 | $20.81 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.710 | $16.9 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 71.98 | $0.140 | $10.08 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 120.52 | $0.660 | $79.54 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 106.25 | $0.749 | $79.55 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 106.25 | $0.790 | $83.94 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | sell | 54.79 | $0.580 | $31.78 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No | buy | 21 | $0.660 | $13.86 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 113.79 | $0.123 | $14 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Bebe Stevens make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?No | buy | 10 | $0.846 | $8.46 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?Yes | buy | 121.89 | $0.164 | $20 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 71.99 | $0.556 | $40 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.590 | $14.75 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 24.07 | $0.831 | $20 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 54.79 | $0.730 | $40 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.962 | $28.86 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 40 | $0.911 | $36.43 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 168.64 | $0.274 | $46.21 | Jul 25, 2025 |