Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.070 | $700 | Feb 13, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 18.18K |
| $0.006 |
| $109.09 |
| Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.18K | $0.011 | $200 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10K | $0.004 | $40 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.004 | $40 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.026 | $100 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by March 20?Yes | buy | 0.91 | $0.033 | $0.03 | Mar 2, 2024 |
 Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)?Wen-je | buy | 82 | $0.390 | $31.98 | Jan 4, 2024 |
| Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)?Wen-je | buy | 150 | $0.390 | $58.5 | Jan 4, 2024 |
 Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | Dec 28, 2023 |
| Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | Dec 28, 2023 |
 Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first?$2000 | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Dec 28, 2023 |
 Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.120 | $0.96 | Dec 28, 2023 |
| Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 25, 2023 |