Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 54.38 | $0.112 | $6.09 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.08 |
| $0.600 |
| $3.65 |
| Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Joe Biden attend Pope Francis' funeral?No | buy | 18.43 | $0.054 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance attend Pope Francis' funeral?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.183 | $5 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Congress passes bill banning TikTok by April 30?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Apr 3, 2024 |
 Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.600 | $19.35 | Feb 28, 2024 |
| Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Will BTC hit $55,000 in February?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Feb 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 10-20% of the vote?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.013 | $0.14 | Feb 25, 2024 |
 Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.006 | $0.04 | Feb 25, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.140 | $2.33 | Feb 25, 2024 |
 Trump and Biden debate before Election?No | sell | 10.34 | $0.280 | $2.9 | Feb 25, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.250 | $4.81 | Feb 25, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.320 | $5.33 | Feb 25, 2024 |
 Trump and Biden both win nomination?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.770 | $5.66 | Feb 25, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 54.05 | $0.320 | $17.3 | Feb 25, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 553.65 | $0.530 | $293.43 | Feb 25, 2024 |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?Yes | buy | 9.15 | $0.328 | $3 | Feb 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by more than 50% of the vote?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Feb 11, 2024 |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Feb 11, 2024 |
| Trump and Biden debate before Election?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Feb 10, 2024 |
 Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 7, 2024 |
 Will Andrew Tate launch a cryptocurrency in February?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.030 | $0.5 | Feb 5, 2024 |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Feb 4, 2024 |
 Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 2, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet again by April 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 30, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 28, 2024 |
| Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by more than 50% of the vote?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 28, 2024 |
| Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 10-20% of the vote?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 28, 2024 |
| Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by less than 10% of the vote?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jan 28, 2024 |
 Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jan 28, 2024 |
 Ravens vs. ChiefsRavens | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Jan 28, 2024 |
| Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 25, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the South Carolina Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jan 25, 2024 |
 Trump wins every state in Rep. Nomination?No | sell | 27.77 | $0.220 | $6.11 | Jan 22, 2024 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Jan 21, 2024 |
 Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.920 | $13.94 | Jan 21, 2024 |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 2.5-5%Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 16, 2024 |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 5-7.5%Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 16, 2024 |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 7.5-10%Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 16, 2024 |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 16, 2024 |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 16, 2024 |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jan 16, 2024 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 16, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jan 16, 2024 |
 Trump margin of victory in Iowa Caucus 30-35%Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jan 11, 2024 |
| Trump margin of victory in Iowa Caucus 35-40%Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jan 11, 2024 |
| Trump margin of victory in Iowa Caucus >40%Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jan 11, 2024 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jan 9, 2024 |
| Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 9, 2024 |