Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 139.98 | $0.850 | $118.98 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 444.44 |
| $0.450 |
| $200 |
| Jul 12, 2025 |
 Trump x Zelenskyy talk before August?Yes | sell | 80.3 | $0.982 | $78.88 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?Yes | sell | 1.96K | $0.005 | $9.93 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.020 | $38.32 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 900 | $0.836 | $752.4 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | sell | 90 | $0.470 | $42.3 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?No | buy | 780 | $0.950 | $741 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?No | buy | 750 | $0.920 | $690 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No | buy | 67 | $0.770 | $51.59 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 450 | $0.490 | $220.5 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.390 | $15.6 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?No | sell | 700 | $0.860 | $602 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.140 | $21 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?No | buy | 434.57 | $0.380 | $165.14 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 354.13 | $0.056 | $20 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 250 | $0.424 | $106 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 145.77 | $0.686 | $100 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?No | sell | 450 | $0.390 | $175.47 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.020 | $0.03 | Oct 4, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?No | buy | 300 | $0.687 | $206.1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?No | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?No | buy | 24.79 | $0.970 | $24.05 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran today?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.001 | $0.14 | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Israel military response against Iran today?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?Yes | buy | 229 | $0.280 | $64.12 | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?Yes | buy | 123 | $0.300 | $36.9 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?Yes | buy | 95.64 | $0.690 | $65.99 | Sep 26, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?No | buy | 222.05 | $0.270 | $59.95 | Sep 25, 2024 |
 Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?No | sell | 38 | $0.890 | $33.82 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?No | buy | 138 | $0.430 | $59.34 | Sep 25, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?No | buy | 50 | $0.496 | $24.8 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?No | buy | 12.85 | $0.940 | $12.08 | Sep 21, 2024 |