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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 455.44 | $0.557 | $253.65 | Apr 17, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 402.62 |
| $0.630 |
| $253.65 |
| Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 63.12 | $0.580 | $36.61 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 339.5 | $0.551 | $187.17 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 255.75 | $0.875 | $223.78 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 255.75 | $0.646 | $165.32 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 194.23 | $0.851 | $165.32 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 194.23 | $0.869 | $168.73 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp | sell | 17.9 | $0.910 | $16.29 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 17.29 | $0.540 | $9.34 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown | buy | 12.28 | $0.790 | $9.7 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 352.37 | $0.024 | $8.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 57.78 | $0.152 | $8.78 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETDown | buy | 19.65 | $0.470 | $9.24 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | buy | 30.96 | $0.290 | $8.98 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 148.74 | $0.890 | $132.38 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 148.75 | $0.817 | $121.53 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Claude 4.7 released by June 30?Yes | sell | 145.66 | $0.834 | $121.53 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Claude 4.7 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 145.66 | $0.839 | $122.2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes | sell | 146.22 | $0.836 | $122.2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes | buy | 146.22 | $0.855 | $124.99 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 128.86 | $0.970 | $124.99 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 128.87 | $0.911 | $117.35 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes | buy | 117.35 | $0.650 | $76.28 | Apr 7, 2026 |