Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 730 | $0.692 | $587.65 | +$82.25 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 251.99 | $0.880 | $221.75 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 350 |
| $0.510 |
| $176.75 |
| -$1.75 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.830 | $169 | +$3 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.520 | $166.5 | +$10.5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.391 | $159 | +$2.8 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 200 | $0.885 | $159 | -$18 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 300 | $0.630 | $157.5 | -$31.5 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.115 | $118.5 | +$3.5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.800 | $116.25 | -$3.75 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 139 | $0.680 | $102.17 | +$7.65 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 130 | $0.700 | $96.2 | +$5.2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.870 | $92.5 | +$5.5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 160 | $0.490 | $92 | +$13.6 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 110 | $0.810 | $90.75 | +$1.65 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.890 | $87.5 | -$1.5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 130 | $0.620 | $86.45 | +$5.85 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 130 | $0.630 | $85.15 | +$3.25 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 100 | $0.764 | $75.95 | -$0.45 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.610 | $65.5 | +$4.5 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.180 | $62 | -$10 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 100 | $0.560 | $53.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 160 | $0.320 | $50.4 | -$0.8 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.250 | $45 | -$5 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.780 |
| $78 |
| 2d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.180 | $72 | 5d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.115 | $115 | 5d ago |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 102.1 | $0.957 | $97.71 | 5d ago |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | 5d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 100 | $0.764 | $76.4 | 5d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 160 | $0.320 | $51.2 | 5d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 187 | $0.250 | $46.75 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.630 | $81.9 | 6d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | 6d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.889 | $88.9 | 6d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.909 | $90.94 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.391 | $78.2 | 8d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | 8d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.510 | $178.5 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.200 | $32 | 8d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.830 | $124.5 | 8d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | 8d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 8d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 8d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.700 | $91 | 8d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.821 | $90.34 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 360 | $0.430 | $154.8 | 8d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | 10d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.620 | $80.6 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.390 | $78 | 10d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.800 | $120 | 12d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.815 | $89.65 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 160 | $0.490 | $78.4 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.938 | $93.8 | 14d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.640 | $76.8 | 14d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.680 | $67.98 | 14d ago |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | 14d ago |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.830 | $6.64 | 14d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | 14d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.760 | $91.2 | 14d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.730 | $94.9 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 130 | $0.680 | $88.4 | 15d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.490 | $88.2 | 15d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | 15d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.520 | $156 | 15d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | 15d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | 15d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.630 | $189 | 15d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.8K | $0.021 | $78.3 | 15d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.670 | $93.8 | 16d ago |