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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.998 | $1.82 | Jul 10, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.81 |
| $0.999 |
| $1.81 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | buy | 2 | $0.997 | $1.99 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.999 | $1.29 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.997 | $1.34 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.999 | $1.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.996 | $1.57 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.999 | $2.41 | May 31, 2026 |
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.996 | $1.73 | May 9, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.999 | $1.27 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.999 | $1.28 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.992 | $1.86 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on April 15?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.997 | $1.72 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.997 | $1.24 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.995 | $1.76 | Mar 28, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.997 | $2.21 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.3K | $0.001 | $13.3 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.2K | $0.001 | $12.2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.14K | $0.001 | $12.14 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.09K | $0.001 | $12.09 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.2K | $0.001 | $12.2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.1K | $0.001 | $12.1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.3K | $0.001 | $11.3 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?No | buy | 2 | $0.640 | $1.28 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.58K | $0.001 | $11.58 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.08K | $0.001 | $12.08 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.48K | $0.001 | $10.48 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.08K | $0.001 | $12.08 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.58K | $0.001 | $11.58 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.03K | $0.001 | $14.03 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.58K | $0.001 | $14.58 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 4?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.58K | $0.001 | $10.58 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.23K | $0.001 | $11.23 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.14K | $0.001 | $11.14 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.578 | $1.1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.590 | $1.13 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Bill Ackman say "Fannie" 20+ times during the X Space event on November 18?Yes | buy | 1.71 | $0.700 | $1.2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Bill Ackman say "Fannie" 20+ times during the X Space event on November 18?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.570 | $1.01 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.530 | $1.03 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 3.12 | $0.680 | $2.12 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Oct 10, 2024 |