Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 159.94 | $0.160 | $30.95 | +$5.36 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.930 | $18.58 | Jun 11, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 44 |
| $0.900 |
| $17.38 |
| -$22.22 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.480 | $5.25 | -$18.75 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.090 | $3.61 | -$1.39 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.070 | $2.68 | -$2.32 |
| sell |
| 19.6 |
| $0.970 |
| $19.01 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.900 | $39.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 34.72 | $0.720 | $25 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | sell | 36.84 | $0.270 | $9.95 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | buy | 36.84 | $0.190 | $7 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.830 | $49.8 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.420 | $12.6 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.360 | $10.8 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Grok 5 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.430 | $2.79 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 164 | $0.320 | $52.48 | Sep 30, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.660 | $23.1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be more than 84%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 81 and 84%?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.110 | $2.75 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.090 | $0.81 | Aug 30, 2025 |
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.132 | $1.32 | Aug 30, 2025 |
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.149 | $3.72 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.206 | $12.36 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.400 | $12 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 70 | $0.870 | $60.9 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?No | buy | 6.96 | $0.640 | $4.45 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?No | sell | 89 | $0.958 | $85.26 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.002 | $2.72 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | sell | 150 | $0.043 | $6.39 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | buy | 110 | $0.170 | $18.7 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | buy | 40 | $0.480 | $19.2 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 35.99 | $0.720 | $25.91 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.800 | $72 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will the next James Bond be British?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.280 | $7.28 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 159.94 | $0.160 | $25.59 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.150 | $180 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | sell | 470.77 | $0.076 | $35.92 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | sell | 627.7 | $0.077 | $48.21 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.079 | $197.21 | Jul 26, 2025 |