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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 94.34 |
| $0.530 |
| $50 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | sell | 200 | $0.019 | $3.82 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | sell | 200 | $0.016 | $3.27 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | sell | 504.26 | $0.021 | $10.59 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | buy | 279.26 | $0.018 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?No | sell | 90.9 | $0.650 | $59.09 | Feb 6, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Feb 6, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 127.25 | $0.160 | $20.36 | Feb 6, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Feb 6, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 98.68 | $0.760 | $75 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | sell | 61.66 | $0.810 | $49.94 | Feb 3, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | Jan 29, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Jan 28, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Jan 24, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Jan 24, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 52.85 | $0.946 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 89.19 | $0.740 | $66 | Jan 20, 2026 |