Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 59.54 | $0.838 | $56.27 | +$6.36 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 160.97 | $0.930 | $149.7 | 17d ago |
|
| No |
| 34.68 |
| $0.923 |
| $33.35 |
| +$1.35 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 21.98 | $0.910 | $21.05 | +$1.05 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 16.73 | $0.896 | $15.81 | +$0.81 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.19 | $0.911 | $12.55 | +$0.53 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 8.89 | $0.810 | $7.16 | -$0.04 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 6.74 | $0.890 | $5.97 | -$0.03 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 5.57 | $0.897 | $5.17 | +$0.17 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5.08 | +$0.08 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? | No | 5.62 | $0.890 | $4.92 | -$0.08 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 4.4 | $0.909 | $4.2 | +$0.2 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 4 | $0.750 | $3.16 | +$0.16 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2.32 | +$0.32 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 2.21 | $0.903 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.07 | $0.937 | $1 | -$0 |
| buy |
| 12.46 |
| $0.963 |
| $12 |
| 17d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.04 | $0.730 | $12.44 | 17d ago |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.903 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.897 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.710 | $2.15 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.973 | $10.13 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 9.04 | $0.972 | $8.79 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.38 | $0.971 | $5.22 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.09 | $0.990 | $3.06 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.937 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.944 | $3 | May 18, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.931 | $3 | May 18, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.943 | $0.98 | May 18, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.964 | $8.72 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.903 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.997 | $3.07 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.991 | $5.07 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.18 | $0.992 | $5.14 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.33 | $0.988 | $10.2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.21 | $0.890 | $1.97 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | sell | 10.73 | $0.995 | $10.68 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 10.73 | $0.982 | $10.54 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.929 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.972 | $3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.968 | $3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 8.89 | $0.810 | $7.2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 42.68 | $0.996 | $42.51 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 51.23 | $0.830 | $42.52 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.37 | $0.975 | $10.11 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.36 | $0.975 | $10.1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.39 | $0.977 | $10.15 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.08 | $0.995 | $5.05 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.04 | $0.997 | $3.03 | Mar 27, 2026 |