Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 15.03K | $0.796 | $2.93K | -$9.03K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 504.61 | $0.003 | $1.51 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 7.7K |
| $0.649 |
| $962.25 |
| -$4.04K |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1K | $0.846 | $930 | +$84 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 2.51K | $0.300 | $263.08 | -$489.4 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.820 | $154 | -$10 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 199.28 | $0.390 | $151.45 | +$73.73 |
 Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.910 | $95.85 | +$4.85 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.540 | $76.5 | +$22.5 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 83.33 | $0.640 | $67.08 | +$13.75 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.540 | $39 | -$285 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.530 | $20 | -$33 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.180 | $6 | -$12 |
 Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.862 | $1.07 | +$0.12 |
| buy |
| 15.71 |
| $0.973 |
| $15.29 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 4K | $0.960 | $3.84K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 2.11K | $0.990 | $2.09K | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.900 | $900 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | sell | 6.59 | $0.210 | $1.38 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 213 | $0.972 | $207.04 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 5.07K | $0.998 | $5.06K | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?No | buy | 3.97 | $0.870 | $3.45 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.960 | $980.29 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 85.47 | $0.920 | $78.63 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.92K | $0.010 | $48.35 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.388 | $606.73 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.147 | $309.86 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 640.48 | $0.120 | $76.86 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 635.98 | $0.470 | $298.91 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 504.61 | $0.270 | $136.24 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | sell | 400 | $0.900 | $360 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No | sell | 59.03 | $0.990 | $58.44 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No | sell | 14.72 | $0.910 | $13.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.013 | $15.94 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 934.5 | $0.012 | $11.21 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.310 | $155 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by June 30?No | buy | 4.79K | $0.939 | $4.49K | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 787.83 | $0.020 | $15.66 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 1.48K | $0.010 | $14.76 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 206.61 | $0.986 | $203.8 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?No | buy | 100 | $0.978 | $97.8 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?No | buy | 67.59 | $0.974 | $65.83 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?No | buy | 270.4 | $0.971 | $262.64 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.290 | $348 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 28.22 | $0.981 | $27.68 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?No | buy | 2.95K | $0.994 | $2.93K | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?No | buy | 304 | $0.999 | $303.7 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 3.11K | $0.994 | $3.09K | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 542.54 | $0.990 | $537.09 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 4.78K | $0.997 | $4.76K | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 3.57K | $0.993 | $3.54K | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?No | buy | 2.51K | $0.063 | $158.17 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 187.67 | $0.880 | $165.15 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.990 | $1.45K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 1.68K | $0.969 | $1.63K | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?No | buy | 1.66K | $0.989 | $1.64K | Jun 22, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.56K | $0.995 | $8.52K | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 5K | $0.940 | $4.7K | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No | sell | 467.2 | $0.900 | $420.48 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.992 | $248 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 5.8K | $0.996 | $5.78K | Jun 22, 2026 |