Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.43 | $0.940 | $6.04 | Dec 6, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 50.7 |
| $0.983 |
| $49.84 |
| Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 110 | $0.019 | $2.09 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 85.83 | $0.024 | $2.06 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 459.94 | $0.116 | $53.39 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.26 | $0.952 | $6.91 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 459.94 | $0.200 | $91.82 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?No | buy | 96.66 | $0.992 | $95.89 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.64 | $0.986 | $89.37 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 80.17 | $0.996 | $79.85 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 80.17 | $0.997 | $79.93 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 79.12 | $0.997 | $78.88 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 79.13 | $0.998 | $78.97 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 77.71 | $0.997 | $77.48 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 77.72 | $0.998 | $77.56 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 80.09 | $0.997 | $79.85 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 80.09 | $0.997 | $79.85 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.990 | $15.23 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 87.1 | $0.996 | $86.75 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 87.1 | $0.997 | $86.84 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 93.8 | $0.994 | $93.24 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 93.81 | $0.995 | $93.34 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?No | buy | 4.48 | $0.994 | $4.45 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 77.1 | $0.995 | $76.71 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 77.1 | $0.997 | $76.87 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?No | buy | 19.01 | $0.999 | $18.99 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.999 | $1.36 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 64.25 | $0.999 | $64.19 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 64.25 | $0.999 | $64.19 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 76.09 | $0.993 | $75.56 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 16–23?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.995 | $6.24 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 76.1 | $0.994 | $75.64 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 72.81 | $0.998 | $72.66 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 9.6 | $0.997 | $9.57 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 82.83 | $0.993 | $82.25 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 82.83 | $0.995 | $82.42 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 11.99 | $0.992 | $11.89 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 84.03 | $0.994 | $83.53 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 84.03 | $0.995 | $83.61 | May 10, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?Up | buy | 30.05 | $0.990 | $29.75 | May 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 49.05 | $0.021 | $1.03 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will someone else win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 21.73 | $0.998 | $21.69 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 67.49 | $0.997 | $67.29 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the PPC win 5 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.996 | $1.45 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 67.49 | $0.998 | $67.36 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $79000 on Apr 25?No | buy | 2.32 | $0.999 | $2.32 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 59.17 | $0.996 | $58.93 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 59.18 | $0.997 | $59 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 71.83 | $0.996 | $71.54 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will the Giants draft Will Campbell?No | buy | 9.61 | $0.997 | $9.58 | Apr 23, 2025 |