Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 290.21 | $0.144 | $20.75 | -$21.09 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.630 | $1.55 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 15.29 |
| $0.715 |
| $11.98 |
| +$1.04 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? | No | 13.65 | $0.600 | $10.72 | +$2.53 |
 Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 8.94 | $0.764 | $8.94 | +$2.11 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 45.89 | $0.253 | $6.63 | -$4.98 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? | Yes | 6.23 | $0.305 | $5.41 | +$3.51 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 7.95 | $0.410 | $4.81 | +$1.55 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 2.51 | $0.880 | $2.48 | +$0.27 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 2.64 | $0.667 | $1.71 | -$0.05 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.42 | $0.670 | $1.66 | -$6 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 4.58 | $0.369 | $1.61 | -$0.08 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1.68 | $0.740 | $1.53 | +$0.29 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2.77 | $0.621 | $1.38 | -$0.34 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.46 | $0.630 | $1.14 | -$0.41 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 1.28 | $0.449 | $1.11 | +$0.53 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 11.78 | $0.456 | $1 | -$4.37 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 20.07 | $0.110 | $0.62 | -$1.59 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 0.51 | $0.600 | $0.49 | +$0.19 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.01 | $0.113 | $0.47 | -$0.1 |
 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 5.15 | $0.678 | $0.32 | -$3.17 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 1.95 | $0.570 | $0.32 | -$0.79 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 0.91 | $0.520 | $0.11 | -$0.36 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.73 | $0.174 | $0.03 | -$0.79 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 0.16 | $0.259 | $0.03 | -$0.01 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 1.7 | $0.344 | $0 | -$0.58 |
| buy |
| 14.14 |
| $0.560 |
| $7.92 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 7.95 | $0.410 | $3.26 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.78 | $0.180 | $1.58 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 11.53 | $0.760 | $8.76 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 24.66 | $0.487 | $12.01 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 11.43 | $0.498 | $5.69 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.627 | $0.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.701 | $0.12 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.500 | $1.9 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.680 | $0.08 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.610 | $2.01 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No | buy | 5.73 | $0.445 | $2.55 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Yes | buy | 8.37 | $0.710 | $5.94 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.48 | $0.415 | $0.61 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.720 | $0.02 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.710 | $0.02 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.730 | $0.04 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.76 | $0.449 | $1.24 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 0.37 | $0.710 | $0.26 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.985 | $0.05 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 0.42 | $0.720 | $0.3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.700 | $0.02 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.730 | $0.02 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.720 | $0.06 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 0.22 | $0.720 | $0.16 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.760 | $0.05 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.220 | $0.03 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 2.49 | $0.470 | $1.17 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.91 | $0.025 | $0.02 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.59 | $0.911 | $0.54 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.632 | $0.11 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.49 | $0.923 | $0.45 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.770 | $0.02 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 0.33 | $0.632 | $0.21 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.580 | $0.1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.280 | $0.02 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.080 | $0.03 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 1.95 | $0.570 | $1.11 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.110 | $0 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.080 | $0.01 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.280 | $0.02 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.440 | $0.01 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.520 | $0.05 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.280 | $0.02 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.150 | $0 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.190 | $0 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.200 | $0 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.200 | $0.02 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.190 | $0.02 | Jul 11, 2026 |