Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No | buy | 28.2 | $0.851 | $24 | Mar 10, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 133.18 |
| $0.175 |
| $23.28 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Yes | buy | 133.18 | $0.218 | $29 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?Yes | buy | 42.04 | $0.476 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?Yes | buy | 182.79 | $0.260 | $47.53 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 162.16 | $0.370 | $60 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.900 | $40.91 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 177.37 | $0.860 | $152.54 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.260 | $40 | Feb 27, 2026 |