Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.090 | $2.7 | May 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 7 |
| $0.150 |
| $1.05 |
| May 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 13 | $0.080 | $1.04 | May 21, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?Up | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jan 10, 2026 |