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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 57.34 | $0.619 | $48.17 | +$12.67 |
 Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.013 | $0.07 | May 31, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 30.12 |
| $0.820 |
| $28.31 |
| +$3.61 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 31.87 | $0.637 | $27.57 | +$7.26 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 28.58 | $0.732 | $27.29 | +$6.36 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 26.84 | $0.850 | $24.16 | +$1.34 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 22.38 | $0.860 | $21.35 | +$2.1 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 29.59 | $0.610 | $18.49 | +$0.44 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 20.3 | $0.647 | $16.89 | +$3.76 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 2.58 | $0.776 | $2.43 | +$0.42 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.370 | $1.99 | +$1.2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.92 | $0.766 | $1.64 | +$0.17 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.240 | $0.94 | -$4.06 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 0.11 | $0.510 | $0.09 | +$0.04 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.013 |
| $0.07 |
| May 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 6.54 | $0.013 | $0.09 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.770 | $5.07 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.770 | $5.07 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.950 | $4.97 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 32.21 | $0.147 | $4.72 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.319 | $10.64 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | buy | 22.21 | $0.280 | $6.22 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 71.16 | $0.770 | $54.79 | May 29, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.790 | $5.06 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.153 | $0.77 | May 27, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No | buy | 7.97 | $0.610 | $4.86 | May 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 10.14 | $0.161 | $1.63 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 10.11 | $0.974 | $9.85 | May 27, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | May 25, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?Yes | buy | 61.77 | $0.082 | $5.04 | May 25, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | May 25, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.660 | $5.08 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | May 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.94 | $0.279 | $2.49 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | buy | 10.45 | $0.350 | $3.66 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.780 | $5.06 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.067 | $4.99 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.380 | $0.14 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 5.41 | $0.220 | $1.19 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.077 | $5.05 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.130 | $0.65 | May 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.130 | $0.65 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Yes | buy | 9.02 | $0.976 | $8.8 | May 17, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | May 17, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.780 | $5.06 | May 17, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 52.26 | $0.200 | $10.45 | May 17, 2026 |