Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: Other | No | 45 | $0.991 | $44.84 | +$0.25 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherNo | buy | 45 | $0.991 | $44.6 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 35 |
| $0.930 |
| $34 |
| +$1.45 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 30 | $0.925 | $26.01 | -$1.74 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 24.76 | $0.954 | $24.25 | +$0.63 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 21 | $0.920 | $20.36 | +$1.04 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.130 | $7.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | No | 29.99 | $0.177 | $4.36 | -$0.94 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.110 | $2.98 | -$2.53 |
 Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 20 | $0.210 | $2.9 | -$1.3 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 40 | $0.370 | $2.2 | -$12.6 |
 Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.280 | $0.33 | -$8.07 |
| buy |
| 22.71 |
| $0.985 |
| $22.37 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?Up | buy | 8 | $0.940 | $7.52 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Chirayu Rana divorced?No | buy | 15 | $0.995 | $14.93 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 180.92 | $0.050 | $9.05 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 35 | $0.998 | $34.93 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.996 | $27.89 | May 3, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 37 | $0.490 | $18.13 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.045 | $1.62 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.986 | $27.61 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.800 | $18.4 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Zuffa Boxing 4: Opetaia vs. Glanton (Cruiserweight, Main)Glanton | buy | 46.09 | $0.070 | $3.23 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.930 | $32.55 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 40 | $0.946 | $37.84 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.04 | $0.930 | $17.71 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 33 | $0.999 | $32.97 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 24.76 | $0.954 | $23.62 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 4?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.985 | $17.73 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.910 | $31.85 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 22.53 | $0.985 | $22.19 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.920 | $19.32 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.031 | $37.2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.930 | $21.39 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 36 | $0.998 | $35.93 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 24 | $0.998 | $23.95 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Rental Family win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.002 | $1.1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Canada recession in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.994 | $29.82 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 17.09 | $0.995 | $17 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 28.54 | $0.998 | $28.48 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 51 | $0.997 | $50.85 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.002 | $2.2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 632 | $0.002 | $1.26 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 10.28 | $0.973 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 21.48 | $0.954 | $20.49 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025?No | buy | 22 | $0.985 | $21.67 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Fed abolished in 2025?No | buy | 35.26 | $0.993 | $35 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 27 | $0.978 | $26.41 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 29.5 | $0.954 | $28.14 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?No | sell | 60 | $0.992 | $59.53 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 US defaults on debt in 2025?No | buy | 16.56 | $0.990 | $16.39 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 38.04 | $0.968 | $36.82 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 31?Yes | buy | 598.51 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Pudgy Penguins floor price hit 30 ETH in 2025?No | buy | 20.54 | $0.974 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 44.03 | $0.995 | $43.81 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.095 | $2.85 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 702 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?No | buy | 27 | $0.992 | $26.78 | Oct 30, 2025 |