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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.680 | $4.11 | Jan 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 21.87 |
| $0.680 |
| $14.87 |
| Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.311 | $30.77 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 105.44 | $0.290 | $30.58 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 30.25 | $0.850 | $25.71 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 52.8 | $0.120 | $6.34 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.690 | $4.17 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.690 | $4.17 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.690 | $4.17 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.690 | $4.17 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.690 | $4.45 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.25 | $0.850 | $12.11 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No | sell | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.056 | $0.28 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Yes | buy | 152.86 | $0.007 | $1.04 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Yes | sell | 22.8 | $0.002 | $0.05 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 105.54 | $0.290 | $30.61 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Yes | sell | 13.26 | $0.045 | $0.6 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.920 | $5.57 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Yes | buy | 14.33 | $0.030 | $0.43 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.13 | $0.140 | $0.86 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?Yes | sell | 2.78 | $0.070 | $0.19 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.81 | $0.120 | $0.1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.75 | $0.120 | $0.09 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | buy | 44.4 | $0.250 | $11.1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 53.96 | $0.800 | $43.17 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?Up | sell | 9.03 | $0.500 | $4.52 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Yemen by December 31?Yes | sell | 38.89 | $0.998 | $38.81 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Yemen by December 31?No | buy | 366.67 | $0.003 | $1.1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Yemen by December 31?No | buy | 275 | $0.004 | $1.1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Yemen by December 31?No | buy | 275 | $0.004 | $1.1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Yemen by December 31?No | sell | 6.05 | $0.807 | $4.88 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.96 | $0.024 | $0.24 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.800 | $4.84 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.280 | $1.45 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 99.9 | $0.580 | $57.94 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.680 | $4.11 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.740 | $4.48 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.920 | $5.57 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | buy | 11.09 | $0.932 | $10.34 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.542 | $3.28 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | buy | 16.84 | $0.530 | $8.93 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Turkey" or "Erdogan" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | sell | 22.18 | $0.970 | $21.51 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Israel President events on December 29?No | buy | 115.56 | $0.009 | $1.04 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 29?Up | buy | 59.97 | $0.070 | $4.2 | Dec 29, 2025 |