Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 25.5 | $0.870 | $21.8 | -$0.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.690 | $1.02 | 6h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 21.95 |
| $0.580 |
| $16.35 |
| +$3.62 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 22.66 | $0.580 | $12.69 | -$0.45 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 15.75 | $0.730 | $11.58 | +$0.08 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 49.53 | $0.281 | $11.14 | -$2.8 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 11.84 | $0.860 | $10 | -$0.18 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 10.57 | $0.490 | $6.82 | +$1.64 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 7.32 | $0.826 | $4.97 | -$1.07 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 8.4 | $0.430 | $4.24 | +$0.63 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 14.8 | $0.460 | $4.07 | -$2.74 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.08 | $0.730 | $3.95 | +$0.97 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 4.55 | $0.902 | $3.76 | -$0.34 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 3.06 | $0.904 | $2.91 | +$0.14 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 3.84 | $0.700 | $2.86 | +$0.17 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 11.35 | $0.260 | $2.33 | -$0.62 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2.19 | +$0.19 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 2.57 | $0.680 | $2.17 | +$0.42 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1.81 | $0.720 | $1.3 | $0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.81 | $0.501 | $1.28 | -$0.63 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 5.15 | $0.530 | $1.16 | -$1.57 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.33 | $0.450 | $1.11 | +$0.06 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 14.62 | $0.415 | $1.1 | -$4.97 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | Yes | 3.19 | $0.420 | $0.42 | -$0.93 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | Yes | 2.41 | $0.610 | $0.28 | -$1.19 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 0.18 | $0.270 | $0.03 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 1.81 |
| $0.720 |
| $1.3 |
| 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 22.66 | $0.580 | $13.14 | 6d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No | sell | 9.83 | $0.858 | $8.43 | 13d ago |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.818 | $6.82 | 13d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.78 | $0.570 | $0.44 | 14d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.340 | $0.39 | 15d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.330 | $0.09 | 15d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.23 | $0.330 | $0.08 | 15d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.24 | $0.330 | $0.08 | 15d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.71 | $0.310 | $1.15 | 15d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.540 | $0.03 | 19d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.540 | $0.01 | 19d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.540 | $0.01 | 19d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.540 | $0.01 | 19d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.540 | $0.01 | 19d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.540 | $0.02 | 19d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.540 | $0.01 | 19d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.510 | $1.15 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.685 | $1.05 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.721 | $0.06 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.692 | $0.11 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.649 | $1.15 | 20d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | sell | 0.39 | $0.920 | $0.36 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.500 | $1.9 | 20d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.910 | $0.05 | 20d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.910 | $0.97 | 20d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.84 | $0.860 | $5.02 | 20d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | sell | 9.13 | $0.910 | $8.31 | 20d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.64 | $0.316 | $2.73 | 23d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | sell | 40.25 | $0.001 | $0.04 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.902 | $4.1 | 23d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.22 | $0.270 | $11.67 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.33 | $0.620 | $0.2 | 29d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 10.57 | $0.490 | $5.18 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.780 | $0.02 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.770 | $0.35 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.770 | $0.92 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.770 | $0.02 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.770 | $0.09 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.33 | $0.710 | $0.23 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.670 | $0.08 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.22 | $0.670 | $0.15 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.33 | $0.630 | $0.21 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.610 | $0.04 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.610 | $0.16 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 2.05 | $0.910 | $1.87 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.99 | $0.558 | $3.34 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.710 | $0.04 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.65 | $0.550 | $0.36 | Aug 9, 2026 |