Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 12.66 |
| $0.079 |
| $0.18 |
| -$0.82 |
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | Yes | 26.32 | $0.038 | $0.09 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.050 |
| $1 |
| Feb 15, 2026 |
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 142.5 | $0.007 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | buy | 33.17 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Jorrit Bergsma (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Marco Odermatt record the most medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | sell | 87.61 | $0.003 | $0.26 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 38.74 | $0.026 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Japan win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Joep Wennemars (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Liechtenstein record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 25.34 | $0.039 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Mexico record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 51.87 | $0.019 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Iran record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will India record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 40.55 | $0.025 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Marco Odermatt record the most medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 87.62 | $0.011 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Kjeld Nuis (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Sara Shimizu (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.075 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Rize Kudo (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Jordan Stolz record the most gold medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will the next James Bond be British?Yes | buy | 243.58 | $0.082 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 48.33 | $0.021 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will the next James Bond be British?Yes | buy | 11.92 | $0.084 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Kamala Harris divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.993 | $55.16 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will there be no coalition by October 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Tiffany Fong pregnant before July?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | May 13, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 29.71 | $0.034 | $1 | May 13, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will another movie win the most Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Measles declared public health emergency before April?Yes | buy | 26.15 | $0.038 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Trump banned from Canada before May?Yes | buy | 32.19 | $0.031 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 25, 2025 |
Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Feb 25, 2025 |
Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?Yes | buy | 56.84 | $0.018 | $1 | Feb 25, 2025 |
Megaquake in March?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 25, 2025 |
Will the next Pope be from Oceania?Yes | buy | 208 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 25, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in January 2025?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |