Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia capture Sumy by December 31?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.965 | $3.54 | Oct 5, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.100 |
| $1 |
| Oct 5, 2025 |
US bank failure by October 31?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.900 | $4 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.963 | $3.2 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | May 2, 2025 |
Megaquake before May?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.997 | $1.91 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before May?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.991 | $1.2 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above in April?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will El Salvador/Bukele launch a memecoin before April?No | buy | 3.5 | $0.998 | $3.49 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce before April?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.996 | $1.2 | Mar 26, 2025 |
PKK removed from U.S. terror list before April?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.994 | $1.2 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Boeing at fault for South Korea plane crash?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Will another party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?No | sell | 3.79 | $0.996 | $3.77 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Will another party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.998 | $3.79 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Boeing at fault for South Korea plane crash?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.996 | $1.01 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.985 | $1.18 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will 'Novocaine' gross more than 11m on opening weekend?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.996 | $1.1 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will 'Black Bag' gross between 3-5m on opening weekend?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will Trump post 150 or more times on Truth March 7-14?No | buy | 3.87 | $0.969 | $3.75 | Mar 8, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 800 or more times March 7-14?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Mar 8, 2025 |
Will Kanye meet with Ansem by next Friday?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Mar 8, 2025 |
Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 4.6K | $0.001 | $4.6 | Mar 8, 2025 |
2025 February hottest on record?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Mar 8, 2025 |
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 4.09 | $0.993 | $4.06 | Mar 8, 2025 |
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.990 | $4.05 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will Trump post 160 or more times on Truth Feb 28 - March 7?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.977 | $2.2 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will Kanye tweet 400 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 25-Mar 3?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will 'Last Breath' between 6-9m on its opening weekend?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 3.01 | $0.989 | $2.98 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 6.84 | $0.996 | $6.81 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.991 | $3 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will "Mi Camino" win Best Original Song at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.998 | $1.2 | Mar 1, 2025 |
SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.999 | $2.2 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Will Elon reach #1 in Path of Exile 2 before March?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 13.37 | $0.987 | $13.2 | Feb 27, 2025 |
Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 13.38 | $0.995 | $13.31 | Feb 25, 2025 |
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Feb 25, 2025 |
Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Feb 25, 2025 |
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.970 | $6 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 47.5% and 47.9% on February 21?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 24, 2025 |