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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No | buy | 5.23K | $0.001 | $5.23 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 21.75 |
| $0.028 |
| $0.61 |
| Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.120 | $4.62 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 21.75 | $0.200 | $4.35 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 43.52 | $0.100 | $4.35 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 37.7 | $0.120 | $4.52 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | sell | 46.51 | $0.023 | $1.06 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Yes | sell | 66.12 | $0.057 | $3.77 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 58.46 | $0.240 | $14.03 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.003 | $0.09 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.086 | $2.97 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 11.09 | $0.105 | $1.16 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 25.86 | $0.109 | $2.82 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 22.55 | $0.130 | $2.93 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 26.49 | $0.153 | $4.05 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown | buy | 9.56 | $0.520 | $4.97 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Armada" this week? (March 22)Yes | buy | 16.14 | $0.354 | $5.71 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETDown | buy | 66.12 | $0.150 | $9.92 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 49.36 | $0.200 | $9.87 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.043 | $2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown | buy | 17.02 | $0.570 | $9.7 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 249.95 | $0.020 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETUp | sell | 18.12 | $0.990 | $17.94 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETUp | buy | 17.84 | $0.543 | $9.69 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETDown | sell | 32.25 | $0.505 | $16.28 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown | buy | 23.1 | $0.420 | $9.7 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown | sell | 31.72 | $0.640 | $20.3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown | buy | 31.35 | $0.312 | $9.77 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp | buy | 24.28 | $0.400 | $9.71 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Yes | buy | 66.13 | $0.151 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?Yes | buy | 47.27 | $0.106 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.06 | $0.116 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 49.21 | $0.603 | $29.67 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?Yes | sell | 277.77 | $0.110 | $30.55 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 37.7 | $0.370 | $13.95 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.180 | $50 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETDown | buy | 10.84 | $0.489 | $5.3 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.066 | $5.46 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 6.38 | $0.570 | $3.64 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.090 | $3.75 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 59.74 | $0.620 | $37.04 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 48.91 | $0.350 | $17.12 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 81.96 | $0.219 | $17.97 | Mar 4, 2026 |