Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 80 | $0.828 | $67.6 | +$1.4 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 19d ago |
|
| No |
| 60 |
| $0.929 |
| $56.97 |
| +$1.23 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 60 | $0.855 | $51.9 | +$0.6 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 62.31 | $0.660 | $50.16 | +$9.04 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.890 | $46.75 | +$2.25 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.703 | $33.9 | +$5.78 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.395 | $31.4 | +$15.6 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.640 | $29 | +$3.4 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.820 | $26.25 | +$1.65 |
 Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.200 | $21.75 | +$11.75 |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.920 | $19.66 | +$1.26 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $18.9 | +$1.1 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 20 | $0.810 | $18.67 | +$2.47 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.710 | $15.8 | +$1.6 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 49.98 | $0.188 | $10.5 | +$1.1 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.640 | $9.7 | +$3.3 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.780 | $9.67 | +$1.87 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.620 | $7.95 | +$1.75 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.800 | $6.44 | -$1.57 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.060 | $1.48 | -$0.92 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.060 |
| $1.2 |
| 20d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.640 | $25.6 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.630 | $25.2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 16, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing | sell | 39.96 | $0.999 | $39.92 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 74.29 | $0.017 | $1.25 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.3 | $0.350 | $4.31 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.340 | $7.48 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?No | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.650 | $19.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.520 | $4.16 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | May 23, 2026 |
 Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.987 | $39.48 | May 13, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 72.65 | $0.070 | $5.09 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 80.58 | $0.120 | $9.67 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.320 | $1.92 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 20 | $0.124 | $2.48 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | sell | 40 | $0.954 | $38.16 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 20 | $0.565 | $11.3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.998 | $14.97 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.4 | $0.580 | $5.45 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.110 | $12.1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.800 | $12 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 TJR mentee Timmeh earns prop payout in 30 days?No | sell | 5.94 | $0.710 | $4.22 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| TJR mentee Timmeh earns prop payout in 30 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| TJR mentee Timmeh earns prop payout in 30 days?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.720 | $4.13 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| TJR mentee Timmeh earns prop payout in 30 days?No | sell | 7.66 | $0.720 | $5.52 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | sell | 26 | $0.600 | $15.6 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | sell | 7 | $0.600 | $4.2 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | sell | 81.96 | $0.008 | $0.66 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?No | sell | 0.36 | $0.950 | $0.34 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.120 | $4.8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 14.32 | $0.004 | $0.06 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.900 | $5.4 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?No | sell | 5.64 | $0.900 | $5.08 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.032 | $0.16 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.73 | $0.930 | $6.26 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?No | sell | 6.82 | $0.908 | $6.19 | Mar 15, 2026 |