Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 1.3 | $0.965 | $1.25 | 5d ago |
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| sell |
| 1.52 |
| $0.991 |
| $1.51 |
| 5d ago |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.974 | $1.53 | 5d ago |
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 1.7 | $0.982 | $1.67 | 5d ago |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 1.98 | $0.982 | $1.94 | 5d ago |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 1.98 | $0.996 | $1.97 | 5d ago |
Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?No | sell | 2 | $0.995 | $1.99 | 5d ago |
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.997 | $1.99 | 5d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 2.25 | $0.962 | $2.16 | 5d ago |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | sell | 2.47 | $0.940 | $2.32 | 5d ago |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 2.46 | $0.975 | $2.4 | 5d ago |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 3.02 | $0.998 | $3.01 | 5d ago |
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.900 | $6 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 10.63 | $0.941 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Vinícius Júnior record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 62.62 | $0.958 | $60 | May 29, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.960 | $1.85 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.940 | $2.33 | May 22, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.985 | $1.02 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.900 | $1.23 | May 17, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 2.57 | $0.995 | $2.56 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.985 | $1.03 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.968 | $1.92 | Apr 18, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.973 | $2.18 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.960 | $2.52 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 0°C on April 8?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.999 | $2.5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 2?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on April 3?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.920 | $1.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.951 | $1.33 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.982 | $1.6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 2% and 3%?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.976 | $2.45 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model for math on March 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.940 | $2.87 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.984 | $1.76 | Mar 19, 2026 |
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 17?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.987 | $1.42 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026No | buy | 1.6 | $0.993 | $1.59 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 93.8 | $0.959 | $89.93 | Mar 16, 2026 |
GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.979 | $1.83 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.968 | $1.65 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in February?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.958 | $1.25 | Mar 7, 2026 |