Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 108.85 | $0.459 | $22.86 | -$27.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.240 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 45.77 |
| $0.546 |
| $10.76 |
| -$14.24 |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 40.08 | $0.374 | $8.86 | -$6.14 |
| buy |
| 208.33 |
| $0.240 |
| $50 |
| May 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.240 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown | buy | 83.33 | $0.300 | $25 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown | buy | 40.98 | $0.610 | $25 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown | buy | 41.67 | $0.600 | $25 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown | buy | 35.48 | $0.705 | $25 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown | buy | 35.21 | $0.710 | $25 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp | buy | 50.06 | $0.499 | $25 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp | buy | 44.64 | $0.560 | $25 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETDown | sell | 7.81 | $0.980 | $7.65 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETDown | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 230.76 | $0.978 | $225.68 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.250 | $62.5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 121.95 | $0.989 | $120.61 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 63.67 | $0.999 | $63.61 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 230.77 | $0.650 | $150 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 67.56 | $0.910 | $61.48 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?Yes | sell | 52.08 | $0.170 | $8.85 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 284.97 | $0.660 | $188.08 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 344.82 | $0.070 | $24.14 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.35 | $0.625 | $44.61 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.5 | $0.476 | $15 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 32.17 | $0.466 | $15 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 40.08 | $0.374 | $15 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 45.77 | $0.546 | $25 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 108.85 | $0.459 | $50 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 74.62 | $0.996 | $74.32 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?Yes | buy | 52.08 | $0.480 | $25 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.670 | $50 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.035 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.027 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.290 | $100 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.300 | $25 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 117.37 | $0.213 | $25 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 73.53 | $0.680 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |