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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 53 | $0.890 | $51.52 | +$4.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.820 | $30.34 | 4d ago |
|
| No |
| 55 |
| $0.860 |
| $50.88 |
| +$3.58 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 48 | $0.840 | $42 | +$1.68 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | No | 38 | $0.800 | $35.53 | +$5.13 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 37 | $0.830 | $31.82 | +$1.11 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 37 | $0.820 | $31.64 | +$1.3 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 35 | $0.870 | $31.33 | +$0.88 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 22 | $0.930 | $21.03 | +$0.57 |
| sell |
| 37 |
| $0.900 |
| $33.3 |
| 4d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 35 | $0.860 | $30.1 | 9d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.790 | $31.6 | 12d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.890 | $47.17 | 18d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 57 | $0.830 | $47.31 | 18d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.870 | $30.45 | 18d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.830 | $30.71 | 19d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 35 | $0.880 | $30.8 | 19d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.860 | $47.3 | 20d ago |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.800 | $30.4 | 20d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 57 | $0.830 | $47.31 | 20d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No | buy | 197 | $0.310 | $61.07 | 25d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | 29d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No | buy | 359 | $0.270 | $96.88 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?No | sell | 26.48 | $0.640 | $16.95 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?No | sell | 37.52 | $0.680 | $25.51 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?No | sell | 64 | $0.621 | $39.76 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?No | buy | 128 | $0.775 | $99.24 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?No | sell | 90 | $0.830 | $74.7 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?No | sell | 63.99 | $0.890 | $56.95 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 118.61 | $0.900 | $106.75 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?No | sell | 20.52 | $0.920 | $18.88 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.860 | $34.4 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?No | buy | 90 | $0.839 | $75.52 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 119.32 | $0.880 | $105 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?No | buy | 104.6 | $0.956 | $100 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?No | buy | 53.09 | $0.848 | $45 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.840 | $60 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10?No | sell | 106.65 | $0.982 | $104.78 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10?No | buy | 106.66 | $0.938 | $100 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 421.13 | $0.995 | $419.02 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | sell | 430.93 | $0.757 | $326.13 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | buy | 430.93 | $0.860 | $370.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 421.14 | $0.880 | $370.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No | sell | 347.81 | $0.980 | $340.79 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 400.42 | $0.984 | $394.01 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 426 | $0.925 | $394.01 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No | buy | 347.81 | $0.944 | $328.27 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No | sell | 330.24 | $0.994 | $328.28 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 426 | $0.918 | $390.97 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 394.52 | $0.989 | $390.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?No | buy | 390.1 | $0.992 | $386.89 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026?No | buy | 386.89 | $0.982 | $379.96 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No | sell | 395.34 | $0.961 | $379.78 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No | buy | 330.25 | $0.972 | $321 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | sell | 421.77 | $0.761 | $321.18 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | buy | 421.77 | $0.930 | $392.25 | Jun 10, 2026 |