Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.810 | $153 | -$9 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 57.3 | $0.540 | $30.94 | 8h ago |
|
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.690 |
| $102 |
| -$36 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 200.01 | $0.480 | $45 | -$51 |
 Will Brandon Lowe hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | No | 20 | $0.940 | $18.6 | -$0.2 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.930 | $18.37 | -$0.23 |
 LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? | Yes | 20.34 | $0.886 | $17.39 | -$0.64 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 50 | $0.275 | $9.85 | -$3.9 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.930 | $9.35 | +$0.05 |
| sell |
| 8.34 |
| $0.730 |
| $6.09 |
| 8h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 18.28 | $0.760 | $13.89 | 8h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 150 | $0.580 | $87 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | 9h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | sell | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 29.89 | $0.720 | $21.52 | 9h ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.205 | $41.08 | 16h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.210 | $42 | 17h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 172.3 | $0.700 | $120.61 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.102 | $9.18 | 2d ago |
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | 3d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.130 | $26 | 5d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | 8d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 69.64 | $0.221 | $15.39 | 11d ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.013 | $0.07 | 11d ago |
 Will Rodrygo finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 11d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 68.1 | $0.060 | $4.09 | 12d ago |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | 13d ago |
 Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 17d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?No | sell | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | 17d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?No | sell | 200 | $0.028 | $5.6 | 19d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?No | sell | 9.9 | $0.030 | $0.3 | 19d ago |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.241 | $12.05 | 20d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.241 | $12.05 | 22d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 50 | $0.752 | $37.6 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 14?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | 27d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | sell | 15.39 | $0.050 | $0.77 | 27d ago |
 Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.005 | $0.1 | 27d ago |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | 27d ago |
| Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.053 | $1.06 | 27d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.032 | $3.22 | 27d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 199.81 | $0.013 | $2.6 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 12?No | sell | 8.04 | $0.180 | $1.45 | 28d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 12?No | sell | 11.96 | $0.230 | $2.75 | 28d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?No | sell | 48 | $0.612 | $29.38 | 29d ago |
 Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.063 | $0.04 | 29d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 9.55 | $0.030 | $0.29 | 29d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.032 | $0.32 | 29d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.032 | $0.32 | 29d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 5.44 | $0.034 | $0.18 | 29d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 198 | $0.040 | $7.92 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.014 | $2.8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 19.4 | $0.031 | $0.6 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Aug 8, 2026 |