Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.590 | $4.15 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 6.02 |
| $0.720 |
| $4.33 |
| Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 8.53 | $0.610 | $5.2 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.260 | $7.22 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 32.78 | $0.210 | $6.88 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?No | sell | 26.73 | $0.630 | $16.84 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 25.31 | $0.730 | $18.48 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Austria recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 22.1 | $0.902 | $19.94 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.920 | $21.39 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?No | sell | 25.64 | $0.843 | $21.6 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | sell | 29.41 | $0.740 | $21.76 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?No | sell | 68.38 | $0.910 | $62.23 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 89.69 | $0.957 | $85.83 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 114.94 | $0.930 | $106.89 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?No | sell | 156.67 | $0.967 | $151.55 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 233.78 | $0.965 | $225.68 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?No | buy | 26.73 | $0.748 | $20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?Yes | sell | 20.37 | $0.950 | $19.35 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.769 | $40 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.810 | $4.33 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31Yes | sell | 28.24 | $0.095 | $2.68 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | sell | 23.52 | $0.998 | $23.47 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?Yes | buy | 20.37 | $0.430 | $8.76 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.810 | $2.89 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.940 | $5.88 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?No | buy | 101.65 | $0.957 | $97.28 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 8.62 | $0.392 | $3.38 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | sell | 10.4 | $0.430 | $4.47 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31Yes | buy | 28.25 | $0.177 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?Yes | sell | 90.01 | $0.570 | $51.31 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?Yes | buy | 82.74 | $0.725 | $60 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 207.9 | $0.962 | $200 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 10.41 | $0.480 | $5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?No | buy | 40.8 | $0.750 | $30.6 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 21.12 | $0.947 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?No | sell | 15.21 | $0.820 | $12.47 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.705 | $13.06 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?No | buy | 15.22 | $0.460 | $7 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |