Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 608 | $0.890 | $541.12 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.520 |
| $104 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.800 | $1.2K | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.650 | $1.2K | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 1.43K | $0.840 | $1.2K | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 567.49 | $0.730 | $414.27 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 202 | $0.885 | $178.75 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 920 | $0.204 | $187.43 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 323.34 | $0.620 | $200.47 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 4K | $0.002 | $8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 3.13K | $0.003 | $9.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 46.62 | $0.921 | $42.94 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 4K | $0.025 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.440 | $220 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 3.13K | $0.032 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.470 | $25 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 62.3 | $0.610 | $38 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.061 | $6.1 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Yes | buy | 727.43 | $0.110 | $79.72 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Ron Paul be a member of the Trump administration?No | sell | 81.47 | $0.966 | $78.71 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Yes | buy | 639.39 | $0.106 | $68 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Yes | buy | 64.27 | $0.260 | $16.71 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.680 | $20.4 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | sell | 64.51 | $0.320 | $20.64 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.140 | $16.47 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Yes | buy | 29.09 | $0.260 | $7.56 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?No | buy | 35 | $0.200 | $7 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel before December?Yes | buy | 60.71 | $0.280 | $17 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.480 | $16 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 116.33 | $0.490 | $57 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will someone else be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 114.29 | $0.035 | $4 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Ron Paul be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 81.48 | $0.736 | $60 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.760 | $30 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.620 | $15 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 136.01 | $0.740 | $100.65 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 351.25 | $0.199 | $70 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | buy | 125.86 | $0.580 | $73 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Oct 30, 2024 |