Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 145.37 | $0.976 | $141.84 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 234.47 |
| $0.969 |
| $227.2 |
| Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 145.38 | $0.963 | $140 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Netanyahu out by 2025?No | buy | 35.79 | $0.969 | $34.68 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No | buy | 159.38 | $0.627 | $100 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 105.89 | $0.944 | $100 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?No | sell | 34.63 | $0.963 | $33.36 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No | sell | 20.83 | $0.972 | $20.25 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in October?No | sell | 45.77 | $0.974 | $44.59 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 57.69 | $0.979 | $56.48 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?No | sell | 80.82 | $0.990 | $80.01 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No | buy | 16.94 | $0.620 | $10.5 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No | buy | 63.49 | $0.630 | $40 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?No | buy | 31.63 | $0.632 | $20 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?No | buy | 80.83 | $0.962 | $77.78 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 90.51 | $0.884 | $80.03 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?Yes | buy | 77.78 | $0.900 | $70 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 27.08 | $0.948 | $25.67 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 22.4 | $0.893 | $20 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?No | buy | 65.67 | $0.915 | $60.09 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in October?No | buy | 45.77 | $0.920 | $42.11 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.75 in October?No | sell | 43.42 | $0.970 | $42.12 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.75 in October?No | buy | 43.43 | $0.980 | $42.56 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?No | buy | 55.39 | $0.930 | $51.51 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 51.52 | $0.871 | $44.89 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 21.5 | $0.971 | $20.87 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 44.15 | $0.170 | $7.51 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?No | sell | 13.38 | $0.999 | $13.37 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?No | buy | 45.16 | $0.920 | $41.55 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | sell | 41.75 | $0.995 | $41.54 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?No | buy | 34.63 | $0.900 | $31.17 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?No | buy | 31.17 | $0.690 | $21.51 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?No | buy | 13.39 | $0.930 | $12.45 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?No | buy | 24.61 | $0.920 | $22.64 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 20?Yes | buy | 22.64 | $0.950 | $21.51 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.990 | $21.51 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,500 on October 22?No | buy | 12.45 | $0.860 | $10.71 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 23?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 41.75 | $0.958 | $40 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.940 | $40 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 22.44 | $0.891 | $20 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 22.45 | $0.891 | $20 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 44.15 | $0.906 | $40 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | sell | 217.9 | $0.967 | $210.71 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 54.07 | $0.950 | $51.37 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 1 times by October 31?No | sell | 57.72 | $0.890 | $51.37 | Oct 16, 2025 |