Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 3 | $0.951 | $2.85 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 37 |
| $0.790 |
| $29.23 |
| Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 31 | $0.956 | $29.64 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 34 | $0.958 | $32.57 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 33 | $0.987 | $32.57 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.988 | $32.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.221 | $0.44 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.966 | $28.98 | May 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.031 | $1.27 | May 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.966 | $28.01 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.969 | $31.01 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.779 | $28.82 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.238 | $10.47 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.236 | $5.43 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.016 | $1.22 | May 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.220 | $11.44 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.957 | $27.75 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.860 | $18.92 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.861 | $18.94 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?No | sell | 1 | $0.982 | $0.98 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 2 | $0.955 | $1.91 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.958 | $21.08 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | sell | 22 | $0.955 | $21.01 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 22 | $0.955 | $21.01 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?No | sell | 20 | $0.987 | $19.74 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.009 | $0.49 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.987 | $19.74 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 24 | $0.952 | $22.85 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?No | sell | 23 | $0.984 | $22.63 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?No | buy | 24 | $0.983 | $23.59 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.967 | $24.18 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 26 | $0.936 | $24.34 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.975 | $24.38 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.947 | $23.67 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 13 | $0.984 | $12.79 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 25 | $0.946 | $23.65 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 25 | $0.946 | $23.65 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.945 | $24.57 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.666 | $11.99 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will CF Monterrey win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 18 | $0.992 | $17.86 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | buy | 13 | $0.829 | $10.78 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.932 | $10.25 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.932 | $10.25 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.986 | $10.85 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Alexis Ohanian buy TikTok before July?No | sell | 11 | $0.976 | $10.74 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 7 | $0.965 | $6.76 | May 22, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | sell | 7 | $0.957 | $6.7 | May 12, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.966 | $6.76 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 6 | $0.984 | $5.9 | May 9, 2025 |