Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.16 | $0.770 | $1.66 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.16 |
| $0.750 |
| $1.62 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.381 | $1.12 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 3.79 | $0.271 | $1.03 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.390 | $1.15 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.279 | $1.06 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 17?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.444 | $0.82 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on February 18?Down | sell | 5.23 | $0.490 | $2.56 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 17?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 18?Down | buy | 5.24 | $0.510 | $2.67 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 3.8 | $0.550 | $2.09 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 3.81 | $0.570 | $2.17 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 3.08 | $0.380 | $1.17 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.390 | $1.2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 2.48 | $0.440 | $1.09 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 2.49 | $0.450 | $1.12 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.640 | $1.6 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.660 | $1.65 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.44 | $0.630 | $2.8 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.45 | $0.650 | $2.89 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 3.61 | $0.650 | $2.35 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.660 | $2.38 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?No | sell | 2.55 | $0.580 | $1.48 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.590 | $1.51 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Yes | sell | 2.79 | $0.391 | $1.09 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.79 | $0.405 | $1.13 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.350 | $1.13 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.22 | $0.360 | $1.16 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.730 | $1.28 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.740 | $1.3 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.01 | $0.700 | $2.81 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.710 | $2.85 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.4 | $0.560 | $2.46 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.570 | $2.51 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.420 | $2.11 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?Yes | sell | 4.23 | $0.390 | $1.65 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.470 | $2.36 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.390 | $1.65 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 2.83 | $0.570 | $1.61 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.580 | $1.64 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.9% on May 2?Yes | sell | 2.16 | $0.530 | $1.14 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.9% on May 2?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.540 | $1.17 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?No | sell | 4.39 | $0.410 | $1.8 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?No | buy | 4.39 | $0.380 | $1.67 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.670 | $1.36 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.680 | $1.38 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No | sell | 3.06 | $0.470 | $1.44 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.480 | $1.47 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | sell | 4.61 | $0.590 | $2.72 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 4.62 | $0.600 | $2.77 | Mar 31, 2025 |