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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 30.08 | $0.133 | $4 | Mar 25, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes| buy |
| 83.33 |
| $0.120 |
| $10 |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 6.94 | $0.730 | $5.07 | Mar 17, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 11.26 | $0.760 | $8.56 | Mar 17, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 11.27 | $0.710 | $8 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.966 | $10.73 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 16.12 | $0.940 | $15.15 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Meta reach $820 in December?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $475–500 in 2025?Yes | buy | 64.71 | $0.170 | $11 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $230 before 2026??Yes | buy | 289.47 | $0.038 | $11 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.026 | $5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.024 | $12 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 426.26 | $0.028 | $12 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 11.34 | $0.882 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.930 | $15 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |