Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 588.75 | $0.151 | $141.59 | +$52.56 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 535.89 |
| $0.634 |
| $109.86 |
| -$230.15 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 268.42 | $0.372 | $89.92 | -$10.08 |
 Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 219.58 | $0.490 | $73.56 | -$34.03 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 603.32 | $0.166 | $48.27 | -$51.73 |
 Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 595 | $0.524 | $19.93 | -$292.07 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.92 | $0.386 | $13.2 | +$3.2 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.420 | $12.9 | +$4.5 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 666.67 | $0.015 | $12.33 | +$2.33 |
 Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 15.43 | $0.470 | $6.95 | -$0.31 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 93.75 | $0.160 | $6.09 | -$8.91 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.290 | $3.28 | -$6.72 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.070 | $2.43 | -$7.57 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.180 | $2.08 | -$7.92 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.93 | $0.500 | $1.53 | +$0.57 |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 1.65 | $0.500 | $0.09 | -$0.74 |
| buy |
| 7.81 |
| $0.640 |
| $5 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 15.54 | $0.840 | $13.05 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 8.01K | $0.562 | $4.5K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 569.8 | $0.150 | $85.47 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 612.58 | $0.149 | $91.27 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.910 | $6.37 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 527.78 | $0.360 | $190 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 206.22 | $0.955 | $196.96 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 66.88 | $0.598 | $40 | May 29, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 1.11K | $0.914 | $1.01K | May 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.79K | $0.620 | $2.35K | May 27, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.673 | $1.36 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.620 | $1.2K | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.598 | $5.98 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 6.89K | $0.427 | $2.94K | May 26, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 600 | $0.967 | $579.96 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 884.04 | $0.704 | $622.36 | May 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 666.66 | $0.214 | $142.35 | May 24, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 778.52 | $0.385 | $300 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.73K | $0.220 | $381.02 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 5.89K | $0.950 | $5.6K | May 14, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3K | $0.900 | $2.7K | May 14, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | May 11, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.260 | $100 | May 11, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 135.88 | $0.736 | $100 | May 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.017 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.390 | $260 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes | buy | 268.42 | $0.373 | $100 | May 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 419.22 | $0.630 | $264.11 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.69K | $0.990 | $2.67K | May 9, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 75.5 | $0.180 | $13.59 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 106.41 | $0.996 | $105.98 | May 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 892.24 | $0.702 | $626.53 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 274.72 | $0.660 | $181.32 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.7K | $0.246 | $909.33 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.13K | $0.430 | $917.84 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 563.6 | $0.423 | $238.67 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 15K | $0.001 | $15 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.890 | $2.67K | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.905 | $1K | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 206.22 | $0.970 | $200 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 884.04 | $0.679 | $600 | Apr 19, 2026 |