Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 55.56 | $0.630 | $39.17 | +$4.17 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.910 | $8.75 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 16.39 |
| $0.610 |
| $15.16 |
| +$5.16 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 19.02 | $0.530 | $9.61 | -$0.47 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 52.51 | $0.879 | $8.59 | -$37.57 |
| buy |
| 6.1 |
| $0.820 |
| $5 |
| Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will King Charles say "Historic" or "History" or "Historical" during the joint meeting of Congress?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will King Charles say "250" or "250th" during the joint meeting of Congress?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 16.31 | $0.613 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 29.07 | $0.860 | $25 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 ChatGPT Outage by April 10?No | buy | 15.68 | $0.750 | $11.76 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.833 | $10 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.780 | $15 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?No | sell | 34.15 | $0.969 | $33.08 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 52.51 | $0.879 | $46.16 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 51.02 | $0.490 | $25 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by February 28?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 28.74 | $0.870 | $25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.810 | $15 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 29.76 | $0.840 | $25 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 27.88 | $0.897 | $25 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 17.65 | $0.850 | $15 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?No | buy | 21.13 | $0.710 | $15 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?No | buy | 34.16 | $0.878 | $30 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.630 | $35 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | buy | 61.22 | $0.490 | $30 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?No | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 23.44 | $0.640 | $15 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.910 | $27.57 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 42.82 | $0.930 | $39.82 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?No | sell | 30 | $0.910 | $27.3 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?No | sell | 25.97 | $0.910 | $23.63 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 19.02 | $0.530 | $10.08 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?No | buy | 17.81 | $0.730 | $13 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | buy | 37.28 | $0.537 | $20 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.780 | $13 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Maduro" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.630 | $12 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 13.11 | $0.610 | $8 | May 30, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JuneYes | buy | 12.5 | $0.480 | $6 | May 30, 2025 |
 Trump announces removal of Harvard tax exempt status before July?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" during the press conference?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Trump" 3+ times during the press conference?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.780 | $40 | May 30, 2025 |